Exchange Whale Ratio Suggests Bitcoin Dump Incoming

On-chain data shows Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has started rising, suggesting that a dump of the crypto may be coming soon.

Bitcoin Whales Now Account For 90% Of Inflow To Exchanges

As pointed out by a CryptoQuant post, the exchange whale ratio has risen above 0.9, implying that dumping may be going on in the market.

The “exchange whale ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the total Bitcoin amount of top 10 transactions to exchanges and the total inflows.

In simpler terms, the metric tells us how the ten largest transactions to exchanges compare with the total amount of coins moving to exchanges.

When the indicator has values lower than 0.85, it means that the ten largest transactions to exchanges (which are assumed to belong to whales) make up for less than 85% of the total Bitcoin inflow amount. Such values have been historically healthy for the market.

On the other hand, when the metric reaches high values, it implies the top ten transactions make up for most of the inflows to exchanges.

Investors usually move their Bitcoin to exchanges for selling purposes. So, this trend may show that whales are currently dumping as they are moving vast amounts of coins to exchanges.

Related Reading | Year 2021 Data Cements Bitcoin As Risk-On Asset

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in BTC exchange whale ratio over the past few months:

Looks like the value of the indicator has risen recently | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has now exceeded values of 0.9. This means that the top ten transactions now make up for more than 90% of the inflows.

Whenever the indicator has reached high values recently, the price of the coin has suffered downtrend soon after, as the chart shows.

Related Reading | Why Did China Ban Bitcoin Mining? Here Are The Seven Leading Theories

This could mean that the current high values of the exchange whale ratio may also prove to be bearish for the price of Bitcoin.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $47.3k, down 7% in the last seven days, Over the past month, the crypto has lost 16% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

BTC's price seems to be consolidating again | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Bitcoin looked to have finally broken out of consolidation some days back, but the crypto has now once again fallen back down into the $45k to $50k price range. It’s unclear at the moment when the coin may beat this stagnation, or which direction it may break in.

However, if the exchange whale ratio is anything to go by, more decline in the price of BTC could soon be coming.

Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradignView.com, CryptoQuant.com